Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
33.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
NED
1 - 1
DEN
48%
21%
30%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 3
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 1
NED
66%
16%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 1
NED
84%
9%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
ITA
1 - 0
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1954 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
60%
19%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 3
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 0
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
ITA
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |