Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1955 |
NED
4 - 1
SUI
53%
20%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 0
NED
55%
18%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
46%
21%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
NED
1 - 1
DEN
48%
21%
30%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 3
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1955 |
ROU
1 - 0
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CSK
5 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
BEL
1 - 3
CSK
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
46%
21%
33%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
ITA
1 - 0
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |