Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
65%
16%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
DEN
3 - 2
NED
69%
15%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
NED
1 - 5
BRA
36%
21%
43%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1952 |
FRA
0 - 1
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1952 |
ENG
5 - 0
BEL
82%
10%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
65%
16%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
63%
17%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |