Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
28.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
4 - 0
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NED
0 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
65%
16%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
45%
21%
34%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 2
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1953 |
SWE
2 - 3
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
FIN
2 - 4
BEL
45%
20%
35%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |