Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
NED
4 - 4
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1951 |
NED
2 - 3
NOR
70%
15%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
NED
5 - 4
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
FRA
5 - 2
NED
54%
19%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
BEL
7 - 2
NED
55%
19%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 8
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
50%
19%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
BEL
0 - 5
SCO
45%
21%
34%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
NED
5 - 4
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |