Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.5%
12%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 4
NED
30%
20%
50%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
DEN
1 - 2
NED
66%
16%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
NED
3 - 3
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
39%
21%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 0
SUI
56%
19%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
WAL
57%
20%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
62%
17%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
NED
3 - 3
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
79%
12%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |