Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12%
9.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
37%
21%
42%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
NED
6 - 2
SUI
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
FRA
4 - 0
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
39%
20%
41%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
37%
21%
42%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
SUI
4 - 0
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 5
ENG
25%
19%
56%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
FRA
4 - 2
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCO
36%
22%
42%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |