Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
12%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 6
NED
32%
21%
48%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
NED
4 - 5
LUX
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
44%
21%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1946 |
BEL
7 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
SCO
2 - 2
BEL
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
FRA
46%
20%
34%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
LUX
4 - 1
BEL
52%
20%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
FRA
3 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |