Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.3%
13%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
NED
4 - 5
LUX
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
44%
21%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BEL
5 - 4
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
POL
3 - 3
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
FRA
47%
20%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 2
SUI
53%
20%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |