Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BEL
5 - 4
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
HUN
46%
20%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
CSK
3 - 0
NED
59%
19%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1938 |
NED
1 - 3
SCO
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BEL
5 - 4
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 4
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
FRA
3 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 2
YUG
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1938 |
ITA
6 - 1
BEL
80%
12%
9%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |