Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.7%
11.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
72%
14%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
NED
2 - 1
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
FRA
5 - 3
BEL
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1937 |
ROU
2 - 1
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1937 |
YUG
1 - 1
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |