Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
15%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
NED
2 - 4
HUN
47%
21%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
SUI
2 - 4
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
SUI
3 - 2
NED
40%
21%
39%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1934 |
NED
4 - 5
FRA
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1934 |
GER
5 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 4
NED
46%
21%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
NED
9 - 3
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
IRL
4 - 4
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |