Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
NED
0 - 1
AUT
36%
22%
42%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
49%
20%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
NED
1 - 2
HUN
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
NED
0 - 2
SUI
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
IRL
4 - 4
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
GER
8 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
AUT
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |