Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
49%
20%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
NED
1 - 2
HUN
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
NED
0 - 2
SUI
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
GER
0 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
NED
1 - 2
CSK
49%
21%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
49%
20%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
FRA
3 - 0
BEL
48%
21%
31%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
SUI
3 - 3
BEL
56%
19%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
BEL
2 - 3
ITA
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
BEL
1 - 6
AUT
36%
22%
43%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |