Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
53%
22%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
NED
1 - 4
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1929 |
NOR
4 - 4
NED
40%
22%
37%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
6 - 2
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1929 |
NED
0 - 2
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
FRA
1 - 6
BEL
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
BEL
4 - 1
FRA
68%
16%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1929 |
BEL
1 - 5
ENG
38%
22%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
NED
4 - 0
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |