Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1928 |
NED
1 - 2
EGY
72%
16%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1928 |
NED
2 - 2
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1928 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1928 |
NED
0 - 2
URU
51%
22%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1928 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1928 |
ARG
6 - 3
BEL
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1928 |
LUX
3 - 5
BEL
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1928 |
BEL
1 - 3
ENG
40%
22%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
FRA
2 - 3
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |