Netherlands vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1909 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1908 |
NED
5 - 3
SWE
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1908 |
NED
2 - 0
SWE
64%
18%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1908 |
GBR
4 - 0
NED
31%
23%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1908 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
ENG
11 - 2
BEL
5%
15%
80%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1909 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1908 |
BEL
2 - 1
SWE
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1908 |
NED
1 - 3
BEL
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
BEL
2 - 8
ENG
96%
3%
1%
|
76 | 12 | 64 | 0 |