Netherlands vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1933 |
NED
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
49%
20%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
NED
1 - 2
HUN
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
NED
0 - 2
SUI
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
GER
0 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1933 |
SCO
2 - 2
AUT
39%
22%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
CSK
3 - 3
AUT
48%
21%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
AUT
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
48%
21%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |