Netherlands vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
NED
0 - 0
CRC
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 1
MEX
64%
20%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 3
NED
10%
17%
74%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 5
NED
55%
22%
23%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
12%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
SUI
71%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 3
ARG
13%
19%
69%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
BIH
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |