Netherlands vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1979 |
POL
2 - 0
NED
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
NED
3 - 0
SUI
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ITA
3 - 0
NED
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1978 |
BRD
3 - 1
NED
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
NED
3 - 0
DDR
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
ARG
2 - 1
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
NED
66%
18%
15%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
6 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
49%
24%
28%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |