Netherlands vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
SUI
6 - 3
NED
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
HUN
6 - 2
NED
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
53%
21%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
FRA
1 - 0
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GER
1 - 1
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
GER
5 - 3
HUN
51%
21%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 3
GER
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1930 |
GER
3 - 3
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |