Netherlands vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1926 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1926 |
NED
1 - 5
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
GER
4 - 2
NED
39%
24%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
NED
5 - 0
SUI
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1926 |
GER
3 - 3
SWE
41%
23%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
GER
4 - 2
NED
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1925 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 1925 |
FIN
3 - 5
GER
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |