Netherlands vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
NED
4 - 1
SUI
74%
15%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1923 |
GER
0 - 0
NED
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
NED
8 - 1
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1924 |
GER
4 - 3
AUT
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
GER
1 - 0
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1923 |
GER
1 - 2
FIN
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1923 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |