Netherlands vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1912 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
57%
19%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1911 |
NED
3 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1911 |
BEL
1 - 5
NED
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1910 |
GER
1 - 2
NED
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1910 |
NED
4 - 2
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1911 |
GER
1 - 4
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 3
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 2
AUT
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1911 |
SWE
2 - 4
GER
57%
20%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1911 |
BEL
2 - 1
GER
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |