Netherlands vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
NED
2 - 0
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
0 - 2
NED
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1974 |
NED
4 - 0
ARG
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1974 |
BGR
1 - 4
NED
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
NED
0 - 0
SWE
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
POL
0 - 1
BRD
52%
23%
25%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
4 - 2
SWE
76%
14%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1974 |
YUG
0 - 2
BRD
54%
22%
24%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
BRD
50%
23%
27%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 3
BRD
41%
25%
34%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |