Netherlands vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
SUI
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
NIR
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
NIR
2 - 1
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1965 |
ISR
0 - 1
NED
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CYP
0 - 6
BRD
40%
23%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
BRD
4 - 1
AUT
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
SWE
1 - 2
BRD
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
2 - 0
BRD
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1965 |
SUI
0 - 1
BRD
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |