Netherlands vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
NED
4 - 1
LUX
72%
14%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1957 |
ESP
5 - 1
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
67%
16%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 3
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
SUI
2 - 3
NED
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRD
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 32 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1956 |
BRD
1 - 2
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
YUG
3 - 1
BRD
70%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BRD
1 - 3
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
HUN
2 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |