Netherlands vs The Saarland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1956 |
NED
1 - 4
IRL
57%
19%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
BEL
0 - 1
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1956 |
BRD
1 - 2
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
PDS
1 - 2
NED
59%
18%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
The Saarland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
PDS
1 - 2
NED
59%
18%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 5
YUG
47%
22%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 7
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 3
BRD
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PDS
0 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |