Netherlands vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.3%
11%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
BEL
2 - 7
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
NED
5 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
43%
22%
36%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
LUX
2 - 5
NED
46%
19%
35%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
AUT
3 - 2
NED
76%
13%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1946 |
PRI
0 - 14
CUW
73%
15%
12%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1944 |
SUR
0 - 2
CUW
39%
23%
39%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1944 |
SUR
1 - 2
CUW
42%
23%
36%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
CUW
9 - 1
URU
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | +3 |
| 13 May. 1941 |
ITA
6 - 2
CUW
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 87 | 45 | 0 |