Netherlands vs Costa Rica analysis

Netherlands Costa Rica
95 ELO 86
3.4% Tilt 12.3%
14070º General ELO ranking 307º
122º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
81.6%
Netherlands
13.1%
Draw
5.3%
Costa Rica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
Netherlands
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.3%
Win probability
Costa Rica
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Netherlands
-2%
-13%
Costa Rica

ELO progression

Netherlands
Costa Rica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2014
NED
Netherlands
2 - 1
Mexico
MEX
64%
20%
16%
95 91 4 0
23 Jun. 2014
NED
Netherlands
2 - 0
Chile
CHI
64%
20%
16%
95 91 4 0
18 Jun. 2014
AUS
Australia
2 - 3
Netherlands
NED
10%
17%
74%
95 87 8 0
13 Jun. 2014
ESP
Spain
1 - 5
Netherlands
NED
55%
22%
23%
94 97 3 +1
04 Jun. 2014
NED
Netherlands
2 - 0
Wales
WAL
84%
12%
4%
94 83 11 0

Matches

Costa Rica
Costa Rica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2014
CRC
Costa Rica
1 - 1
Greece
GRC
37%
26%
37%
85 88 3 0
24 Jun. 2014
CRC
Costa Rica
0 - 0
England
ENG
13%
19%
68%
85 93 8 0
20 Jun. 2014
ITA
Italy
0 - 1
Costa Rica
CRC
69%
20%
11%
85 92 7 0
14 Jun. 2014
URU
Uruguay
1 - 3
Costa Rica
CRC
71%
18%
11%
84 91 7 +1
07 Jun. 2014
CRC
Costa Rica
1 - 1
Ireland
IRL
39%
27%
34%
84 88 4 0