Guinea vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
GUI
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
5 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 0
ZIM
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
2 - 2
SWZ
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
3 - 0
MWI
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
ZIM
2 - 0
UGA
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |