Guinea vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GUI
6 - 1
MOZ
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MOZ
0 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NIG
2 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 0
NIG
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ZIM
2 - 4
EGY
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ZIM
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 1
ZIM
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 0
ZIM
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ZIM
3 - 1
ANG
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |