Guinea vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
TOG
0 - 2
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CIV
5 - 0
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAM
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 2
MAR
19%
26%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MWI
61%
22%
16%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ZIM
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZIM
67%
22%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |