Guinea vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ZIM
1 - 1
GUI
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GUI
13%
18%
68%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
LBR
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
SEN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
SEN
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 2
SEN
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
SEN
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GAM
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |