Guinea vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
COD
3 - 1
GUI
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 1
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
SEN
25%
25%
51%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
CMR
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCL
4 - 0
VAN
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
MNG
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
VAN
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |