Guinea vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 1
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
GNB
1 - 1
GUI
8%
13%
79%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 1
NIG
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
XXK
1 - 2
GUI
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TOG
2 - 0
GUI
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 1
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 4
GNB
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
SDN
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
3 - 0
NIG
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 2
NIG
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |