Guinea vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
TAN
2 - 2
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GUI
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
NAM
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUI
10%
17%
74%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
TOG
2 - 3
RWA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
RWA
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
CGO
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
RWA
0 - 0
CPV
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |