Guinea vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 2
GUI
16%
22%
63%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 2
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
57%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
NGA
4 - 1
NIG
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
CIV
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
SWZ
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |