Guinea vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
SEN
0 - 1
GUI
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1981 |
MLI
5 - 6
GUI
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1981 |
GUI
1 - 0
SEN
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1981 |
GUI
2 - 1
MTN
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1981 |
MLI
1 - 1
GUI
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
NGA
0 - 0
ANG
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
TAN
0 - 2
NGA
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 1
TAN
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
CSK
1 - 1
NGA
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |