Guinea vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MOZ
0 - 0
GIN
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
GIN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NER
2 - 0
GIN
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GIN
1 - 0
NER
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
GIN
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MOZ
0 - 0
GIN
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ZAF
2 - 0
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VNM
1 - 0
MOZ
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |