Guinea vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GUI
2 - 2
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 1
MAR
29%
31%
41%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
4 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
KEN
1 - 0
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
KEN
2 - 2
GHA
41%
26%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
KEN
1 - 1
RWA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
5 - 1
KEN
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 2
SDN
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |