Guinea vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 0
GNB
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 2
GIN
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
GIN
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 97 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 2
EGY
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 3
GIN
26%
25%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MRT
2 - 1
GAB
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GAB
0 - 2
COD
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
GAB
1 - 0
SDN
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GAB
3 - 1
NER
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |