Guinea vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
GUI
1 - 1
NGA
68%
18%
15%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
GUI
2 - 1
UGA
80%
12%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
GUI
2 - 1
ETH
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
IRQ
5 - 0
GUI
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 1
EGY
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
ETH
1 - 1
EGY
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
79%
13%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
4 - 0
CGO
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |