Guinea vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CPV
1 - 2
GUI
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 2
GUI
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
SEN
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MLI
6%
11%
83%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
LBR
19%
19%
62%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
LBR
1 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SDN
0 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |