Guinea vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 0
ZIM
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
TOG
0 - 2
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CIV
5 - 0
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
2 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NAM
2 - 1
KEN
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAM
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |