Guinea vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 2
MAR
19%
26%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
6 - 0
SDN
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 3
GUI
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SEN
3 - 1
GUI
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
1 - 0
NAM
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 5
MAR
7%
20%
74%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
SEN
3 - 1
NAM
87%
9%
3%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
3 - 0
NAM
96%
4%
1%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
NAM
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |