Guinea vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
COD
1 - 1
GUI
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GUI
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
NGA
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 2
GUI
16%
22%
63%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MWI
1 - 0
TAN
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 0
MWI
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 2
MWI
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZIM
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 1
MWI
85%
12%
4%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |