Guinea vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
3 - 1
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ANG
2 - 0
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CTA
0 - 0
GUI
2%
6%
93%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
CIV
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
MTN
3 - 1
MAD
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 0
MAD
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LUX
3 - 3
MAD
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
MAD
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 3
SDN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |