Guinea vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
SWZ
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GHA
3 - 0
GUI
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
MLI
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TOG
2 - 1
LBR
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LSO
2 - 0
LBR
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBR
1 - 0
LSO
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ANG
4 - 1
LBR
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LBR
0 - 2
SEN
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |