Guinea vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
GUI
2 - 1
MUS
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
COD
2 - 1
GUI
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
GUI
0 - 0
TUN
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1973 |
CHN
5 - 2
GUI
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1973 |
NGA
2 - 0
GUI
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
CGO
2 - 0
MUS
83%
11%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
CGO
0 - 1
TUN
41%
23%
37%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1973 |
GUI
5 - 1
CGO
71%
15%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
LVA
3 - 1
CGO
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |